A·G Dawn Geopolitics

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Issue2026 · 175 Today2026.06.24 FR
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Nigeria

NGA · West Africa

Nigeria

Africa's largest population and economy, top oil producer on the continent. Holding the rotating ECOWAS presidency during a period of realignment.

compare with…

Data refreshed on 2026.05.06 · source: Wikidata

Composite reading — institute

Risque élevé

4.5 /10 risk

  • Security 0.0
  • Legitimacy 4.0
  • Economy 4.0
  • Diplomacy 7.8
  • Influence 1.5

Security: 0 stable → 10 unstable · others: 0 weak → 10 strong. Computed from V-Dem, FH, CPI, RSF, World Bank, SIPRI, sanctions.

Capital
Abuja
Population
230,000,000 inh.
Area
923,768 km²
Currency
NGN
Regime
Federal presidential republic

Executive in office

Bola Tinubu

Head of State

Bola Tinubu

since 2023.05.29 Congrès des progressistes

Government in office 2 members

Christopher Gwabin Musa

ministre de la Défense

Christopher Gwabin Musa

since 2025.12.04 defence

Minister of Education of Nigeria

Morufu Olatunji Alausa

since 2024.10.23 education

Parliament

Chambre des représentants

360 seats

Inception 1923

Sénat

109 seats

Economic indicators World Bank · 2025

GDP

252 G$

2024 ↓ -48.2 % vs 2023

GDP / capita

1,084 $

2024 ↓ -49.3 % vs 2023

Growth

4.1 %

2024 ↑ +0.7 pt vs 2023

Inflation

33.2 %

2024 ↑ +8.6 pt vs 2023

Unemployment

3.1 %

2025 ↑ +0.0 pt vs 2024

Defense / GDP

0.6 %

2024 ↓ -0.3 pt vs 2023

Life expectancy

54.6 yrs

2024 ↑ +0.3 % vs 2023

Governance indices V-Dem · Freedom House · CPI · RSF · 2024

Democracy (V-Dem)

0.40/1

#95 démocratie électorale fragile

Freedoms (Freedom House)

43/100

Partly Free

Corruption (CPI)

26/100

#1402024

Press freedom (RSF)

50/100

#1122024

Trade dependencies OEC · UN Comtrade · 2023

Exports

60 Md$

Imports

62 Md$

Balance

-2 Md$

Top exports

  • Pétrole brut 48 Md$
  • GNL 5 Md$

Top imports

  • Pétrole raffiné (importateur net malgré le brut) 17 Md$
  • Blé + riz 5 Md$
  • Médicaments 3 Md$

Export partners

Import partners

Diplomatic alignment UNGA 2020-2024 · Bailey-Strezhnev-Voeten

Vote concordance with each power at UN General Assembly.

  • USA 30%
  • GBR 32%
  • FRA 36%
  • DEU 36%
  • RUS 56%
  • CHN 64%
  • IND 70%

Abstention: 24%

Key treaties UN Treaty Collection · IAEA · ICRC · OPCW

  • NPT

    1968 Ratified

  • CTBT

    1996 Ratified

  • TPNW

    2017 Signed, not ratified

  • Rome Statute

    1998 Ratified

  • Genocide

    1948 Ratified

  • Geneva

    1949 Ratified

  • Ottawa Mine Ban

    1997 Ratified

  • Oslo Cluster Munitions

    2008 Ratified

  • Arms Trade Treaty

    2013 Ratified

  • Paris Agreement

    2015 Ratified

Political calendar Wikipedia · IFES · NDI

Upcoming

  • 2027-02

    Présidentielle + législatives

    Bilan Tinubu (réforme essence + naira)

Last election

  • 2023-02-25

    Présidentielle

    Bola Tinubu (APC) 36.6% — participation 26.7%

Last institutional rupture 1999 (transition fin junte Abacha)

Society · human UNDP HDI · WID · UNHCR

HDI

0.548/1

#1612024

Top 10% (wealth)

60.0 %

WID

Gini

35.1

modéré

Refugees hosted

84,000

UNHCR 2024

Refugees originating

380,000

UNHCR 2024

Disputed recognitions curé éditorial · UN Member States

Recognizes

  • Palestine

Does not recognize

  • Kosovo

National anthem

Nigeria, We Hail Thee

Alliances

  • CEDEAO
  • Union africaine
  • OPEP
  • Commonwealth

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