A·G Dawn Geopolitics

Watch institute — L'Aube Étoilée

Issue2026 · 130 Today2026.05.10 FR
← Back to map
Nigeria

NGA · West Africa

Nigeria

Africa's largest population and economy, top oil producer on the continent. Holding the rotating ECOWAS presidency during a period of realignment.

compare with…

Data refreshed on 2026.05.10 · source: Wikidata

Composite reading — institute

Risque élevé

4.5 /10 risk

  • Security 0.0
  • Legitimacy 4.0
  • Economy 4.0
  • Diplomacy 7.8
  • Influence 1.5

Security: 0 stable → 10 unstable · others: 0 weak → 10 strong. Computed from V-Dem, FH, CPI, RSF, World Bank, SIPRI, sanctions.

Capital
Abuja
Population
230,000,000 inh.
Area
923,768 km²
Currency
NGN
Regime
Federal presidential republic

Executive in office

Bola Tinubu

Head of State

Bola Tinubu

since 2023.05.29 Congrès des progressistes

Economic indicators World Bank · 2025

GDP

252 G$

2024 ↓ -48.2 % vs 2023

GDP / capita

1,084 $

2024 ↓ -49.3 % vs 2023

Growth

4.1 %

2024 ↑ +0.7 pt vs 2023

Inflation

33.2 %

2024 ↑ +8.6 pt vs 2023

Unemployment

3.1 %

2025 ↑ +0.0 pt vs 2024

Defense / GDP

0.6 %

2024 ↓ -0.3 pt vs 2023

Life expectancy

54.6 yrs

2024 ↑ +0.3 % vs 2023

Governance indices V-Dem · Freedom House · CPI · RSF · 2024

Democracy (V-Dem)

0.40/1

#95 démocratie électorale fragile

Freedoms (Freedom House)

43/100

Partly Free

Corruption (CPI)

26/100

#1402024

Press freedom (RSF)

50/100

#1122024

Trade dependencies OEC · UN Comtrade · 2023

Exports

60 Md$

Imports

62 Md$

Balance

-2 Md$

Top exports

  • Pétrole brut 48 Md$
  • GNL 5 Md$

Top imports

  • Pétrole raffiné (importateur net malgré le brut) 17 Md$
  • Blé + riz 5 Md$
  • Médicaments 3 Md$

Export partners

Import partners

Diplomatic alignment UNGA 2020-2024 · Bailey-Strezhnev-Voeten

Vote concordance with each power at UN General Assembly.

  • USA 30%
  • GBR 32%
  • FRA 36%
  • DEU 36%
  • RUS 56%
  • CHN 64%
  • IND 70%

Abstention: 24%

Key treaties UN Treaty Collection · IAEA · ICRC · OPCW

  • NPT

    1968 Ratified

  • CTBT

    1996 Ratified

  • TPNW

    2017 Signed, not ratified

  • Rome Statute

    1998 Ratified

  • Genocide

    1948 Ratified

  • Geneva

    1949 Ratified

  • Ottawa Mine Ban

    1997 Ratified

  • Oslo Cluster Munitions

    2008 Ratified

  • Arms Trade Treaty

    2013 Ratified

  • Paris Agreement

    2015 Ratified

Political calendar Wikipedia · IFES · NDI

Upcoming

  • 2027-02

    Présidentielle + législatives

    Bilan Tinubu (réforme essence + naira)

Last election

  • 2023-02-25

    Présidentielle

    Bola Tinubu (APC) 36.6% — participation 26.7%

Last institutional rupture 1999 (transition fin junte Abacha)

Society · human UNDP HDI · WID · UNHCR

HDI

0.548/1

#1612024

Top 10% (wealth)

60.0 %

WID

Gini

35.1

modéré

Refugees hosted

84,000

UNHCR 2024

Refugees originating

380,000

UNHCR 2024

Disputed recognitions curé éditorial · UN Member States

Recognizes

  • Palestine

Does not recognize

  • Kosovo

Alliances

  • CEDEAO
  • Union africaine
  • OPEP
  • Commonwealth

Loading news feed…

country