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Dawn Geopolitics

L'Aube Étoilée's watch institute

← Ground footage

Ground footage statistics

Footage geolocated by GeoConfirmed, counted day by day, region by region and party by party.

Forecast for the coming days → Who is named →

7 last days 14 last days 30 last days 90 last days

images

28

89 days

distinct facts

26

same day, under 1 km

per day

0.3

images on average

busiest day

5

Tue, Nov 3, 2026

new sectors

24

nothing within 8 km the 7 days before

days without image

72

out of 89

01Every day

Download the table (CSV)

One row per day, latest first. The date opens that day's map, compared with the day before, and its entries.

DateImages± day before Facts GroundDronePhotoSat. SectorsNewQuiet Most filmed sector
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Nov 11, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Nov 10, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Nov 9, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Nov 5, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 1 −4 1 1 1 1 5 Murmus (Sudan) (1)
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 5 +5 5 41 5 5 Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) (1)
Mon, Nov 2, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Agadez (Niger) (1)
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Gish Abay (Ethiopia) (1)
Thu, Oct 29, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Oct 27, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Oct 26, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Tendelti (Sudan) (1)
Mon, Oct 19, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Oct 16, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 1 = 1 1 1 1 1 Aksum (Ethiopia) (1)
Mon, Oct 12, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Fadi (Ethiopia) (1)
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 0 −2 0 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 2 Mali (1)
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 2 Hawzen (Ethiopia) (1)
Thu, Oct 8, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 1 Abiy Addi (Ethiopia) (1)
Wed, Oct 7, 2026 2 +2 2 2 1 1 Kidal (Mali) (2)
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 Lakora (Ethiopia) (1)
Wed, Sep 30, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Sep 28, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Lakora (Ethiopia) (1)
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 0 −2 0 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 2 +2 1 2 1 1 Bangassi (Mali) (2)
Wed, Sep 23, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Sep 22, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Sep 21, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Sep 18, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Sep 17, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Sep 16, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Sep 15, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Sep 14, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Sep 10, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Sep 9, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Sep 8, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Sep 7, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Sep 4, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Sep 3, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Sep 2, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Sep 1, 2026 0 −2 0 1
Mon, Aug 31, 2026 2 +2 1 2 1 1 Aguelhok (Mali) (2)
Sun, Aug 30, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Niamey (Niger) (1)
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Aug 27, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Aug 26, 2026 0 −2 0 2
Tue, Aug 25, 2026 2 +2 2 2 2 2 Abeche (Chad) (1)
Mon, Aug 24, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Aug 22, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Aug 21, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Aug 20, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Aug 19, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Aug 18, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Aug 17, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Aug 16, 2026 0 · 0

02Regions over time

Images per week in the 6 most filmed regions: it shows where filmed activity moves. The darker the cell, the more images.

Aug 2026Sep 2026Oct 2026Nov
1621284111825291623306 total
Ethiopia 2 2 5 2 11
Mali 1 2 2 2 1 8
Sudan 1 4 5
Niger 1 1 2
Chad 1 1
Moscow Oblast 1 1

03Parties over time

Party involved in the image according to GeoConfirmed.

Aug 2026Sep 2026Oct 2026Nov
1621284111825291623306 total
Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) 2 5 7
Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) 2 1 4 7
Regular army + supporting factions. 1 1 1 1 3 7
Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) 1 1 1 3
Terrorist Faction (Boko Haran, Daesh, ...) 1 2 3
Neutral 1 1

04Image types over time

Aug 2026Sep 2026Oct 2026Nov
1621284111825291623306 total
Ground video 2 1 2 2 4 6 1 7 25
Drone footage 2 1 3

05Who posts

22 X and Telegram accounts posted the 28 images of the period. Share of images by type of the account that posted them first First column: share of images by type of the account cited first (main source); second: share of all account citations. Type inferred from the display name: an indication, not a check.

Institution or unit0 %3 %1 accounts
News outlet0 %3 %1 accounts
Telegram channel (blogger, aggregator)0 %0 %0 accounts
X account (OSINT, individual)100 %94 %20 accounts
AccountTypeImagesParty most shownRegionPeriod
X @Abdrezak1584333
Abdi 🇪🇹
X account (OSINT, individual)4 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (4) Ethiopia Oct 8 → Oct 13
X @KargnHasret
Hasret Kargın
X account (OSINT, individual)4 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (2) Mali Aug 25 → Oct 7
X @AfriMEOSINT
Rich Tedd 🛰 ✈️
X account (OSINT, individual)3 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (2) Sudan Oct 20 → Nov 3
X @ThomasVLinge
Thomas van Linge
X account (OSINT, individual)3 Regular army + supporting factions. (2) Sudan Oct 7 → Nov 3
X @ArmesAzDe3277
Armée de l'Azawad
X account (OSINT, individual)2 Terrorist Faction (Boko Haran, Daesh, ...) (2) Mali Aug 31
X @FLAZAWAD
Front de Libération de l’Azawad (FLA)
X account (OSINT, individual)2 Terrorist Faction (Boko Haran, Daesh, ...) (2) Mali Aug 31
X @Said_223_K
Said_223🇲🇱🇫🇷🔥✌🏽
X account (OSINT, individual)2 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (2) Moscow Oblast Oct 10 → Nov 3
X @GeoConfirmed
GeoConfirmed
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 9
X @Intelynx
intelynx
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (1) Ethiopia Sep 27
X @LifeisB21746292
ኢትዮጵያ
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (1) Sudan Nov 4
X @Nz9aZ20jEM62bIq
PJ54BNB046XA690438gh04HNYT56njjh632ty65i8932nfi3en
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Sudan Nov 3
X @OgadenSoldier
OgadenSoldier ⛩
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 8
X @Osint613
Open Source Intel
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Chad Aug 25
X @SimNasr
Wassim Nasr
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Niger Aug 29
X @TheAfricaCorps
The African Corps
Institution or unit1 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (1) Mali Oct 7
X @Zeldamices
Zeldamice
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (1) Mali Oct 7
X @absnowx
Abel🇪🇹
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Ethiopia Oct 1
X @clashreport
Clash Report
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Chad Aug 25
X @lsiafrica
LSI AFRICA
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Niger Nov 1
X @sudan_war
Sudan War Updates
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Neutral (1) Sudan Oct 20
X @thesudantimes
The Sudan Times
News outlet1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 9
X @war_noir
War Noir
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (1) Ethiopia Oct 30

06Units

22 images out of 28 name a unit (10 distinct units). Unit as GeoConfirmed attaches it to the image; type inferred from the name. No party: GeoConfirmed's party is the one the image shows or targets, not necessarily the unit's.

Corps, armies, forces15
Other8
Special forces, intelligence1
UnitTypeImagesWhereEquipmentPosted byPeriod
Ethiopian Army Corps, armies, forces7 Ethiopia Infantry Mobility Vehicle (IMV), pick-up (technical) X @Abdrezak1584333, X @ThomasVLinge Oct 8 → Oct 13
Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) Other3 Mali FPV (First Person View) OWAD (One Way Attack Drone) X @FLAZAWAD, X @ThomasVLinge Aug 31 → Oct 7
Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) Corps, armies, forces3 Mali, Moscow Oblast X @Said_223_K, X @KargnHasret Oct 7 → Nov 3
FANO Other2 Ethiopia X @war_noir, X @Intelynx Sep 27 → Oct 30
Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) Other2 Mali Motorcycle X @KargnHasret Aug 25 → Sep 24
Rapid Support Forces Corps, armies, forces2 Sudan X @LifeisB21746292, X @sudan_war Oct 20 → Nov 4
Sudan Armed Forces Corps, armies, forces2 Sudan (Multi-Purpose) Bomber UAV X @Nz9aZ20jEM62bIq, X @ThomasVLinge Nov 3
Africa Corps Corps, armies, forces1 Mali X @KargnHasret Oct 7
Pro-government Tuareg group GATIA Other1 Mali X @ThomasVLinge Oct 7
Tigray Peace Force and Afar Special Forces Special forces, intelligence1 Ethiopia X @absnowx Oct 1

07Most seen equipment

Infantry Mobility Vehicle (IMV)4Oct 8 → Oct 10
Motorcycle2Sep 24
FPV (First Person View) OWAD (One Way Attack Drone)2Aug 31
Pick-up1Nov 3
(Multi-Purpose) Bomber UAV1Nov 3
pick-up (technical)1Oct 13
(Multiple)1Oct 9
Tank1Oct 9
CH-4 drone1Aug 25