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Dawn Geopolitics

L'Aube Étoilée's watch institute

← Ground footage

Ground footage statistics

Footage geolocated by GeoConfirmed, counted day by day, region by region and party by party.

Forecast for the coming days → Who is named →

7 last days 14 last days 30 last days 90 last days

images

17

30 days

distinct facts

17

same day, under 1 km

per day

0.6

images on average

busiest day

4

Tue, Nov 3, 2026

new sectors

16

nothing within 8 km the 7 days before

days without image

20

out of 30

01Every day

Download the table (CSV)

One row per day, latest first. The date opens that day's map, compared with the day before, and its entries.

DateImages± day before Facts GroundDronePhotoSat. SectorsNewQuiet Most filmed sector
Thu, Nov 5, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 0 −4 0 4
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 4 +4 4 31 4 4 Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) (1)
Mon, Nov 2, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Agadez (Niger) (1)
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Gish Abay (Ethiopia) (1)
Thu, Oct 29, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 0 = 0
Tue, Oct 27, 2026 0 = 0
Mon, Oct 26, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Tendelti (Sudan) (1)
Mon, Oct 19, 2026 0 = 0
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 0 = 0
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 0 = 0
Fri, Oct 16, 2026 0 = 0
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 0 = 0
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 0 −1 0 1
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 1 = 1 1 1 1 1 Aksum (Ethiopia) (1)
Mon, Oct 12, 2026 1 +1 1 1 1 1 Fadi (Ethiopia) (1)
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 0 −2 0 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 2 Mali (1)
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 2 Hawzen (Ethiopia) (1)
Thu, Oct 8, 2026 2 = 2 2 2 2 1 Abiy Addi (Ethiopia) (1)
Wed, Oct 7, 2026 2 +2 2 2 1 1 Kidal (Mali) (2)

02Regions over time

Images per day in the 5 most filmed regions: it shows where filmed activity moves. The darker the cell, the more images.

Oct 2026Nov 2026
7891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303112345 total
Ethiopia 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 9
Mali 2 1 3
Sudan 1 2 3
Moscow Oblast 1 1
Niger 1 1

03Parties over time

Party involved in the image according to GeoConfirmed.

Oct 2026Nov 2026
7891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303112345 total
Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) 2 2 1 1 1 7
Regular army + supporting factions. 1 1 2 4
Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) 1 1 1 3
Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) 1 1 2
Neutral 1 1

04Image types over time

Oct 2026Nov 2026
7891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303112345 total
Ground video 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 16
Drone footage 1 1

05Who posts

14 X and Telegram accounts posted the 17 images of the period. Share of images by type of the account that posted them first First column: share of images by type of the account cited first (main source); second: share of all account citations. Type inferred from the display name: an indication, not a check.

Institution or unit0 %5 %1 accounts
News outlet0 %5 %1 accounts
Telegram channel (blogger, aggregator)0 %0 %0 accounts
X account (OSINT, individual)100 %90 %12 accounts
AccountTypeImagesParty most shownRegionPeriod
X @Abdrezak1584333
Abdi 🇪🇹
X account (OSINT, individual)4 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (4) Ethiopia Oct 8 → Oct 13
X @ThomasVLinge
Thomas van Linge
X account (OSINT, individual)3 Regular army + supporting factions. (2) Sudan Oct 7 → Nov 3
X @AfriMEOSINT
Rich Tedd 🛰 ✈️
X account (OSINT, individual)2 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (1) Ethiopia Oct 20 → Nov 3
X @Said_223_K
Said_223🇲🇱🇫🇷🔥✌🏽
X account (OSINT, individual)2 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (2) Moscow Oblast Oct 10 → Nov 3
X @GeoConfirmed
GeoConfirmed
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 9
X @KargnHasret
Hasret Kargın
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (1) Mali Oct 7
X @Nz9aZ20jEM62bIq
PJ54BNB046XA690438gh04HNYT56njjh632ty65i8932nfi3en
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Sudan Nov 3
X @OgadenSoldier
OgadenSoldier ⛩
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 8
X @TheAfricaCorps
The African Corps
Institution or unit1 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (1) Mali Oct 7
X @Zeldamices
Zeldamice
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) (1) Mali Oct 7
X @lsiafrica
LSI AFRICA
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Regular army + supporting factions. (1) Niger Nov 1
X @sudan_war
Sudan War Updates
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Neutral (1) Sudan Oct 20
X @thesudantimes
The Sudan Times
News outlet1 Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) (1) Ethiopia Oct 9
X @war_noir
War Noir
X account (OSINT, individual)1 Rebels (M24, RSF, ALF) (+supporting army) (1) Ethiopia Oct 30

06Units

15 images out of 17 name a unit (8 distinct units). Unit as GeoConfirmed attaches it to the image; type inferred from the name. No party: GeoConfirmed's party is the one the image shows or targets, not necessarily the unit's.

Corps, armies, forces14
Other3
UnitTypeImagesWhereEquipmentPosted byPeriod
Ethiopian Army Corps, armies, forces7 Ethiopia Infantry Mobility Vehicle (IMV), pick-up (technical) X @Abdrezak1584333, X @ThomasVLinge Oct 8 → Oct 13
Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) Corps, armies, forces3 Mali, Moscow Oblast X @Said_223_K, X @KargnHasret Oct 7 → Nov 3
Sudan Armed Forces Corps, armies, forces2 Sudan (Multi-Purpose) Bomber UAV X @Nz9aZ20jEM62bIq, X @ThomasVLinge Nov 3
Africa Corps Corps, armies, forces1 Mali X @KargnHasret Oct 7
Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) Other1 Mali X @ThomasVLinge Oct 7
FANO Other1 Ethiopia X @war_noir Oct 30
Pro-government Tuareg group GATIA Other1 Mali X @ThomasVLinge Oct 7
Rapid Support Forces Corps, armies, forces1 Sudan X @sudan_war Oct 20

07Most seen equipment

Infantry Mobility Vehicle (IMV)4Oct 8 → Oct 10
Pick-up1Nov 3
(Multi-Purpose) Bomber UAV1Nov 3
pick-up (technical)1Oct 13
(Multiple)1Oct 9
Tank1Oct 9