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L'Aube Étoilée's watch institute

Issue2026 · 282 Today2026.10.09 FR
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Nigeria

NGA · West Africa

Nigeria

Africa's largest population and economy, top oil producer on the continent. Holding the rotating ECOWAS presidency during a period of realignment.

compare with…

Data refreshed on 2026.10.08 · source: Wikidata

Points to watch 2026.10.09

Drawn automatically from the file's layers, sources shown; no hand-written text. JSON

The Institute's composite reading

Risque élevé

4.5 /10 risk

  • Security 0.0
  • Legitimacy 4.2
  • Economy 4.0
  • Diplomacy 7.8
  • Influence 1.5

Security: 0 stable → 10 unstable · others: 0 weak → 10 strong. Computed from V-Dem, FH, CPI, RSF, World Bank, SIPRI, sanctions.

UN list of 2026.10.07: 1 person and 2 entities linked to the country by nationality or a known address. Regime: ISIL (Da'esh) and Al-Qaida.

Listings linked to the country by nationality or address: United States 35 (list of 2026.10.02), United Kingdom 4 (list of 2026.10.07), EU 3 (list of 2026.09.22).

Capital
Abuja
Population
230,000,000 inh.
Area
923,768 km²
Currency
NGN
Regime
Federal presidential republic

Executive in office

Bola Tinubu

Head of State

Bola Tinubu

since 2023.05.29 Congrès des progressistes

Government in office 2 members

Christopher Gwabin Musa

ministre de la Défense

Christopher Gwabin Musa

since 2025.12.04 Defence

ministre de l'Éducation

Morufu Olatunji Alausa

since 2024.10.23 Education

Parliament

Chambre des représentants

360 seats

Inception 1923

Sénat

109 seats

Economic indicators World Bank · 2025

GDP

291 G$

2025 ↑ +15.3 % vs 2024

GDP / capita

1,224 $

2025 ↑ +12.9 % vs 2024

Growth

4.0 %

2025 ↓ -0.1 pt vs 2024

Inflation

23.0 %

2025 ↓ -10.2 pt vs 2024

Unemployment

3.1 %

2025 ↑ +0.0 pt vs 2024

Defense / GDP

0.6 %

2024 ↓ -0.3 pt vs 2023

Life expectancy

54.6 yrs

2024 ↑ +0.3 % vs 2023

Governance indices V-Dem 2025 · Freedom House 2026 · CPI 2025 · RSF 2026

Democracy (V-Dem)

0.51/1

#85 electoral democracy 2025

Freedoms (Freedom House)

44/100

Partly Free 2026

Corruption (CPI)

26/100

#1422025

Press freedom (RSF)

48/100

#1122026

Military posture SIPRI · 2025

Global spending rank

#66

SIPRI 2025

Annual budget

1.8 Md$

2025USD constants 2024

Defense effort

0.9 %PIB

2025

Trade dependencies OEC · UN Comtrade · 2023

Exports

60 Md$

Imports

62 Md$

Balance

-2 Md$

Top exports

  • Pétrole brut 48 Md$
  • GNL 5 Md$

Top imports

  • Pétrole raffiné (importateur net malgré le brut) 17 Md$
  • Blé + riz 5 Md$
  • Médicaments 3 Md$

Export partners

Import partners

Diplomatic alignment UNGA 2020-2024 · Bailey-Strezhnev-Voeten

Vote concordance with each power at UN General Assembly.

  • USA 30%
  • GBR 32%
  • FRA 36%
  • DEU 36%
  • RUS 56%
  • CHN 64%
  • IND 70%

Abstention: 24%

Key treaties UN Treaty Collection · IAEA · ICRC · OPCW

  • ✓

    NPT

    1968 Ratified

  • ✓

    CTBT

    1996 Ratified

  • ◐

    TPNW

    2017 Signed, not ratified

  • ✓

    Rome Statute

    1998 Ratified

  • ✓

    Genocide

    1948 Ratified

  • ✓

    Geneva

    1949 Ratified

  • ✓

    Ottawa Mine Ban

    1997 Ratified

  • ✓

    Oslo Cluster Munitions

    2008 Ratified

  • ✓

    Arms Trade Treaty

    2013 Ratified

  • ✓

    Paris Agreement

    2015 Ratified

Political calendar Institute · Wikipedia · 2026-10-08

Upcoming

Last election

  • 2023-02-25

    Présidentielle

    Bola Tinubu (APC) 36.6% · turnout 26.7%

Last institutional rupture 1999 (transition fin junte Abacha)

Society · human UNDP HDI 2023 · World Bank · WID · UNHCR 2025

HDI

0.56/1

#1642023

Top 10% (wealth)

60.0 %

WID

Gini

33.9

moderate2022

Refugees hosted

123,848

UNHCR 2025

Refugees originating

478,150

UNHCR 2025

Disputed recognitions curé éditorial · UN Member States

Recognizes

  • Palestine

Does not recognize

  • Kosovo

National anthem

Nigeria, We Hail Thee

Alliances and organisations Institut · Wikidata

  • CEDEAO
  • Union africaine
  • OPEP
  • Commonwealth
  • UN
  • WTO
  • OIC

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Global attention Wikipedia · 90 days

The country's Wikipedia article is usually read 5,672 times a day (French and English). On 2026.10.07: 5,745, or ×1.0.

French + English French usual level 2026.07.10 · 2026.10.07 Wikimedia statistics (CC0), human users

Sources and freshness

  • Executive, government, parliament, anthem · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Economy · World Bank (CC BY 4.0) · 2025
  • Indices and figures · V-Dem 2026 (OWID) · Freedom House 2026 (OWID) · Transparency International CPI 2025 · RSF 2026 · PNUD IDH 2025 (OWID) · Banque mondiale Gini 2022 · UNHCR 2025 · SIPRI 2026 (OWID) · read on 2026-10-08
  • Memberships · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Political calendar · Institute and Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) · 2026-10-08
  • UN sanctions · Security Council consolidated list · list of 2026-10-07 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · US Treasury (OFAC), SDN and non-SDN lists · list of 2026-10-02 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · United Kingdom, UK Sanctions List (FCDO) · list of 2026-10-07 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · European Union, consolidated financial sanctions list · list of 2026-09-22 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Institute dossier (sanctions, treaties, visits, capabilities) · as of 2026-05-01
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