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L'Aube Étoilée's watch institute

Issue2026 · 282 Today2026.10.09 FR
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Pakistan

PAK · South Asia

Pakistan

Nuclear power; military as the country's structuring institution; historic ally of China via the CPEC corridor. Chronic economic crisis under IMF tutelage.

compare with…

Data refreshed on 2026.10.08 · source: Wikidata

Points to watch 2026.10.09

  • Context

    Hosts 1.2 million refugees. UNHCR 2025

  • Context

    Nuclear power: 170 estimated warheads. FAS

Drawn automatically from the file's layers, sources shown; no hand-written text. JSON

The Institute's composite reading

Vigilance

3.9 /10 risk

  • Security 1.5
  • Legitimacy 3.1
  • Economy 7.0
  • Diplomacy 6.2
  • Influence 5.9

Security: 0 stable → 10 unstable · others: 0 weak → 10 strong. Computed from V-Dem, FH, CPI, RSF, World Bank, SIPRI, sanctions.

UN list of 2026.10.07: 29 people and 9 entities linked to the country by nationality or a known address. Regimes: ISIL (Da'esh) and Al-Qaida (24), Taliban (Afghanistan) (14).

Listings linked to the country by nationality or address: United States 197 (list of 2026.10.02), United Kingdom 51 (list of 2026.10.07), EU 51 (list of 2026.09.22).

Capital
Islamabad
Population
240,000,000 inh.
Area
881,912 km²
Currency
PKR
Regime
Federal parliamentary Islamic republic

Executive in office

Asif Ali Zardari

Head of State

Asif Ali Zardari

since 2024.01.01 Parti du peuple pakistanais

Shahbaz Sharif

Head of Government

Shahbaz Sharif

since 2022.04.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Government in office 16 members

Ishaq Dar

ministre des Affaires étrangères

Ishaq Dar

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N) Foreign affairs

Khawaja Muhammad Asif

ministre de la Défense du Pakistan

Khawaja Muhammad Asif

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N) Defence

Mohsin Raza Naqvi

Federal Minister for Interior

Mohsin Raza Naqvi

since 2024.03.11 Interior

Muhammad Aurangzeb

ministre des Finances du Pakistan

Muhammad Aurangzeb

since 2024.03.11 Finance

Khalid Maqbool Sidique

ministre pakistanais de l'Éducation

Khalid Maqbool Sidique

since 2024.03.11 Muttahida Qaumi Movement Education

Jam Kamal Khan

Federal Minister for Commerce (Pakistan)

Jam Kamal Khan

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Abdul Aleem Khan

Federal Minister for Communications (Pakistan)

Abdul Aleem Khan

since 2024.04.03 Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party

Federal Minister for Economic Affairs (Pakistan)

Ahad Cheema

since 2024.03.11

Federal Minister for Housing and Works (Pakistan)

Mian Riaz Hussain Pirzada

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Amir Muqam

Federal Minister for Kashmir Affairs and Gilgit Baltistan

Amir Muqam

since 2024.03.29 Jamaat-e-Islami

Federal Minister for Maritime Affairs

Qaiser Ahmed Sheikh

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Federal Minister for National Food Security and Research

Rana Tanveer Hussain

since 2024.04.03 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Attaullah Tarar

Federal Minister for National Heritage and Culture (Pakistan)

Attaullah Tarar

since 2024.05.17 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Federal Minister for Parliamentary Affairs (Pakistan)

Azam Nazeer Tarar

since 2024.04.04

Ahsan Iqbal

Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Special Initiatives

Ahsan Iqbal

since 2024.03.11 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (N)

Chaudhry Salik Hussain

ministre des Affaires religieuses

Chaudhry Salik Hussain

since 2024.04.03 Ligue musulmane du Pakistan (Q)

Parliament

Assemblée nationale du Pakistan

342 seats

Inception 1947

Sénat

104 seats

Economic indicators World Bank · 2025

GDP

407 G$

2025 ↑ +9.6 % vs 2024

GDP / capita

1,596 $

2025 ↑ +7.9 % vs 2024

Growth

3.7 %

2025 ↑ +0.6 pt vs 2024

Inflation

3.5 %

2025 ↓ -9.1 pt vs 2024

Unemployment

5.4 %

2025 ↓ -0.1 pt vs 2024

Defense / GDP

2.7 %

2024 ↓ -0.2 pt vs 2023

Life expectancy

67.8 yrs

2024 ↑ +0.2 % vs 2023

Military capabilities Wikipedia · IISS Military Balance résumés

Active

654 000

Reserve

550 000

Paramilitary

482 000

Land

  • 600 Al-Khalid Char (sino-pakistanais)
  • 320 T-80UD Char (ukrainien)
  • 320 Type 85-IIAP Char
  • — Shaheen-III Missile balistique nucléaire portée 2750 km

Air

  • 75 F-16 Fighting Falcon Chasseur
  • 156 JF-17 Thunder Chasseur (sino-pakistanais)
  • 45 Mirage III/V Chasseur (modernisés ROSE)
  • 25 J-10C Chasseur (Chine)

Naval

  • 5 Sous-marins classe Agosta Sous-marin
  • 4 Frégates classe Tughril Frégate (Type 054A chinoise)
  • 4 Frégates classe Zulfiquar Frégate

Nuclear posture

Puissance nucléaire hors TNP

170 estimated warheads · FAS 2026 since 1998

Tactical nuclear weapons annoncées · full-spectrum deterrence

Governance indices V-Dem 2025 · Freedom House 2026 · CPI 2025 · RSF 2026

Democracy (V-Dem)

0.30/1

#115 electoral autocracy 2025

Freedoms (Freedom House)

32/100

Partly Free 2026

Corruption (CPI)

28/100

#1362025

Press freedom (RSF)

33/100

#1532026

Military posture SIPRI · 2025

Global spending rank

#31

SIPRI 2025

Annual budget

11.5 Md$

2025USD constants 2024

Defense effort

2.9 %PIB

2025

Trade dependencies OEC · UN Comtrade · 2023

Exports

31 Md$

Imports

71 Md$

Balance

-40 Md$

Top exports

  • Vêtements + textile 19 Md$
  • Riz 2 Md$

Top imports

  • Pétrole raffiné + brut 12 Md$

Export partners

Import partners

Diplomatic alignment UNGA 2020-2024 · Bailey-Strezhnev-Voeten

Vote concordance with each power at UN General Assembly.

  • USA 30%
  • GBR 31%
  • FRA 36%
  • DEU 36%
  • RUS 64%
  • CHN 80%
  • IRN 60%

Abstention: 23%

Key treaties UN Treaty Collection · IAEA · ICRC · OPCW

  • ✗

    NPT

    1968 Not party

  • ✗

    CTBT

    1996 Not party

  • ✗

    TPNW

    2017 Not party

  • ✗

    Rome Statute

    1998 Not party

  • ✓

    Genocide

    1948 Ratified

  • ✓

    Geneva

    1949 Ratified

  • ✗

    Ottawa Mine Ban

    1997 Not party

  • ✗

    Oslo Cluster Munitions

    2008 Not party

  • ✗

    Arms Trade Treaty

    2013 Not party

  • ✓

    Paris Agreement

    2015 Ratified

Political calendar Institute · Wikipedia · 2026-10-08

Upcoming

  • 2029-02

    Législatives

Last election

  • 2024-02-08

    Législatives

    Indépendants pro-Khan 1ère force, gouvernement coalition Sharif

    Khan emprisonné — armée arbitre

Last institutional rupture 1999 (Musharraf) — pression militaire constante

Society · human UNDP HDI 2023 · World Bank · WID · UNHCR 2025

HDI

0.544/1

#1682023

Top 10% (wealth)

50.0 %

WID

Gini

33.5

moderate2024

Refugees hosted

1,159,038

UNHCR 2025

Refugees originating

90,497

UNHCR 2025

Afghans depuis 1979

Disputed recognitions curé éditorial · UN Member States

Recognizes

  • Palestine

Does not recognize

  • Israël
  • Arménie

Reconnaît Palestine, refuse Israël et l'Arménie (alignement Azerbaïdjan)

Defense industry SIPRI Top 100 · sites officiels

Arms export rank

#35

0.2% du marché mondial

Doctrine

Full Spectrum Deterrence — armes nucléaires tactiques (Nasr)

Prime contractors

  • Pakistan Aeronautical Complex
  • Heavy Industries Taxila
  • Karachi Shipyard

Key platforms

  • JF-17 Thunder (avec CHN)
  • Al-Khalid
  • Shaheen-III

National anthem

Qaumi Tarana

Composer · Ahmed Ghulamali Chagla

Alliances and organisations Institut · Wikidata

  • OCS
  • OCI
  • UN
  • WTO
  • Commonwealth

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Global attention Wikipedia · 90 days

The country's Wikipedia article is usually read 9,170 times a day (French and English). On 2026.10.07: 10,933, or ×1.2.

French + English French usual level 2026.07.10 · 2026.10.07 Wikimedia statistics (CC0), human users

Sources and freshness

  • Executive, government, parliament, anthem · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Economy · World Bank (CC BY 4.0) · 2025
  • Indices and figures · V-Dem 2026 (OWID) · Freedom House 2026 (OWID) · Transparency International CPI 2025 · RSF 2026 · PNUD IDH 2025 (OWID) · Banque mondiale Gini 2024 · UNHCR 2025 · SIPRI 2026 (OWID) · FAS 2026 (OWID) · read on 2026-10-08
  • Memberships · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Political calendar · Institute and Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) · 2026-10-08
  • UN sanctions · Security Council consolidated list · list of 2026-10-07 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · US Treasury (OFAC), SDN and non-SDN lists · list of 2026-10-02 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · United Kingdom, UK Sanctions List (FCDO) · list of 2026-10-07 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · European Union, consolidated financial sanctions list · list of 2026-09-22 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Institute dossier (sanctions, treaties, visits, capabilities) · as of 2026-05-01
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