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L'Aube Étoilée's watch institute

Issue2026 · 282 Today2026.10.09 FR
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Ukraine

UKR · Eastern Europe

Ukraine

State at war since 2022, EU candidate, Western support tied to arms deliveries. Economy on international fiscal life support.

compare with…

Data refreshed on 2026.10.08 · source: Wikidata

Points to watch 2026.10.09

Drawn automatically from the file's layers, sources shown; no hand-written text. JSON

The Institute's composite reading

Risque élevé

5.0 /10 risk

  • Security 3.0
  • Legitimacy 4.8
  • Economy 3.5
  • Diplomacy 5.5
  • Influence 4.2

Security: 0 stable → 10 unstable · others: 0 weak → 10 strong. Computed from V-Dem, FH, CPI, RSF, World Bank, SIPRI, sanctions.

Listings linked to the country by nationality or address: United States 258 (list of 2026.10.02), United Kingdom 339 (list of 2026.10.07), EU 93 (list of 2026.09.22).

Capital
Kyiv
Population
38,000,000 inh.
Area
603,550 km²
Currency
UAH
Regime
Semi-presidential republic (martial law)

Executive in office

Volodymyr Zelensky

Head of State

Volodymyr Zelensky

since 2019.05.20 indépendant

Serhiï Koretskyï

Head of Government

Serhiï Koretskyï

since 2026.07.16

Government in office 3 members

Andriy Sybiga

ministre des Affaires étrangères

Andriy Sybiga

since 2024.09.05 Foreign affairs

Ievheniy Khmara

ministre de la Défense

Ievheniy Khmara

since 2026.07.16 Defence

Denys Chmyhal

ministre de l'Énergie

Denys Chmyhal

since 2026.01.14 indépendant Energy

Parliament

Rada

450 seats

Chair Rouslan Stefantchouk

Inception 1991

Economic indicators World Bank · 2025

GDP

214 G$

2025 ↑ +12.3 % vs 2024

GDP / capita

5,866 $

2025 ↑ +8.8 % vs 2024

Growth

1.8 %

2025 ↓ -1.4 pt vs 2024

Inflation

12.7 %

2025 ↑ +6.2 pt vs 2024

Unemployment

9.8 %

2021 ↑ +0.4 pt vs 2020

Debt / GDP

58.7 %

2020 ↑ +10.4 pt vs 2019

Defense / GDP

34.5 %

2024 ↓ -2.0 pt vs 2023

Life expectancy

74.7 yrs

2024 ↑ +1.7 % vs 2023

Military capabilities Wikipedia · IISS Military Balance résumés

Active

900 000

Reserve

1,000 000

Paramilitary

102 000

Land

  • 1,500 T-64BV/T-80U/T-72 Char (mix)
  • 70 Leopard 2A4/A6/Strv 122 Char (dons OTAN)
  • 14 Challenger 2 Char (don GBR)
  • 31 M1A1 Abrams Char (don US)
  • 70 HIMARS / M270 LRM
  • 49 CAESAR 155 mm Artillerie auto. (don FR)
  • 15 PzH 2000 Artillerie auto. (don DEU)

Air

  • 25 F-16 Fighting Falcon Chasseur (livraisons 2024-2025)
  • — Mirage 2000-5F Chasseur (don FR — programme)
  • 60 Su-27 / MiG-29 Chasseur (héritage soviétique)
  • 12 Su-24M/MR Fencer Bombardier

Naval

  • — Vedettes Magura V5/Sea Baby (drones) Drone naval one-way
  • 6 Vedettes Mark VI (USA) Vedette rapide

Pertes documentées par OSINT (Oryx). Effectifs gonflés par mobilisation.

Armed forces 12 units listed · Wikidata

Air Force 9 Navy 3
Show the 12 units · raw Wikidata list, which does not always flag a disbanded unit

Escadre aérienne

Bellino-Fenderich

Escadre aérienne

Chantier naval de Sébastopol

1938

Escadre aérienne

Chornomorsk shipyard

1951

Escadre aérienne

Danube Ship Repair

1947

Escadre aérienne

Danube Ship Service

Izmaïl

Escadre aérienne

Kiliia Shipyard

1944

Escadre aérienne

Kyiv shipyard

Escadre aérienne

More

1938

Escadre aérienne

Q56360147

1918

Escadre aérienne

Q56364348

Escadre aérienne

chantier naval Océan

1951

Escadre aérienne

chantier naval Zaliv

1938

Governance indices V-Dem 2025 · Freedom House 2026 · CPI 2025 · RSF 2026

Democracy (V-Dem)

0.39/1

#103 electoral autocracy 2025

Freedoms (Freedom House)

51/100

Partly Free 2026

Corruption (CPI)

36/100

#1042025

Press freedom (RSF)

66/100

#552026

Military posture SIPRI · 2025

Global spending rank

#8

SIPRI 2025

Annual budget

77.6 Md$

2025USD constants 2024

Defense effort

39.6 %PIB

2025

Strategic minerals USGS · production / réserves mondiales

  • #6 Manganèse 2024
  • #5 Titane 2024

Trade dependencies OEC · UN Comtrade · 2023

Exports

36 Md$

Imports

64 Md$

Balance

-28 Md$

Top exports

  • Maïs + blé + huiles 12 Md$
  • Minerai de fer 3 Md$
  • Tournesol + huile 5 Md$

Top imports

  • Pétrole raffiné 8 Md$
  • Voitures + pièces 6 Md$
  • Médicaments 3 Md$

Export partners

Import partners

Diplomatic alignment UNGA 2020-2024 · Bailey-Strezhnev-Voeten

Vote concordance with each power at UN General Assembly.

  • USA 86%
  • GBR 91%
  • FRA 92%
  • DEU 92%
  • RUS 4%
  • CHN 26%

Abstention: 5%

Key treaties UN Treaty Collection · IAEA · ICRC · OPCW

  • ✓

    NPT

    1968 Ratified

  • ✓

    CTBT

    1996 Ratified

  • ✗

    TPNW

    2017 Not party

  • ✓

    Rome Statute

    1998 Ratified

  • ✓

    Genocide

    1948 Ratified

  • ✓

    Geneva

    1949 Ratified

  • ✓

    Ottawa Mine Ban

    1997 Ratified

  • ✗

    Oslo Cluster Munitions

    2008 Not party

  • ✓

    Arms Trade Treaty

    2013 Ratified

  • ✓

    Paris Agreement

    2015 Ratified

Bilateral visits, last 24 months Wikipedia · communiqués officiels

Outgoing visits

  • 2025-02-28

    États-Unis · Bilatéral

    Zelensky · accord minéraux (échec public)

  • 2025-09-23

    États-Unis · AGNU

    Plaidoyer soutien militaire

Incoming visits

  • 2025-02-24

    France

    Macron · 3 ans guerre

Political calendar Institute · Wikipedia · 2026-10-08

Upcoming

  • post-loi martiale

    Présidentielle + législatives

    Reportées sine die — guerre

Last election

  • 2019-04-21

    Présidentielle (T2)

    Zelensky 73.2% · turnout 62.1%

Last institutional rupture 2014 (Maïdan, fuite Ianoukovitch)

Society · human UNDP HDI 2023 · World Bank · WID · UNHCR 2025

HDI

0.779/1

#872023

Top 10% (wealth)

47.0 %

WID

Gini

25.6

low2020

Refugees hosted

2,370

UNHCR 2025

Refugees originating

5,224,131

UNHCR 2025

Plus grande crise réfugiée d'Europe depuis WWII

Disputed recognitions curé éditorial · UN Member States

Recognizes

  • Kosovo
  • Palestine

Does not recognize

  • Crimée russe

National anthem

Chtche ne vmerla Ukraïny

Composer · Mykhaïlo Verbytsky

Audio not available

Alliances and organisations Institut · Wikidata

  • Candidat UE
  • UN
  • WTO
  • Council of Europe
  • OSCE

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Global attention Wikipedia · 90 days

The country's Wikipedia article is usually read 6,678 times a day (French and English). On 2026.10.07: 5,774, or ×0.9.

French + English French usual level 2026.07.10 · 2026.10.07 Wikimedia statistics (CC0), human users

Sources and freshness

  • Executive, government, parliament, anthem · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Economy · World Bank (CC BY 4.0) · 2025
  • Indices and figures · V-Dem 2026 (OWID) · Freedom House 2026 (OWID) · Transparency International CPI 2025 · RSF 2026 · PNUD IDH 2025 (OWID) · Banque mondiale Gini 2020 · UNHCR 2025 · SIPRI 2026 (OWID) · read on 2026-10-08
  • Memberships · Wikidata (CC0) · 2026-10-08
  • Political calendar · Institute and Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) · 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · US Treasury (OFAC), SDN and non-SDN lists · list of 2026-10-02 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · United Kingdom, UK Sanctions List (FCDO) · list of 2026-10-07 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Sanctions · European Union, consolidated financial sanctions list · list of 2026-09-22 · read on 2026-10-08
  • Institute dossier (sanctions, treaties, visits, capabilities) · as of 2026-05-01
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